2007/04/06

長假前入市積極


復活節長假期前,恆指連續兩天收高於五十天線,周三更承接美股升勢裂口高收,並締出516億成交,大成交突破阻力之下,應屬短期內利好佳兆。
本周日圓跌近119,澳元則被憧憬即將加息,Cross進一步衝至97樓上,利差交易賺到笑,再加上英兵闖伊朗事件得到解決,企業業績也帶來不少好消息,已經令美股連升六日,逐漸邁向年初新高。早前還在憂心仲仲的市場,又再回復一片樂觀情緒,究竟現階段是驟雨中的陽光,抑或仍有好一段升勢在後頭,嘉豪無能力預測,但手頭中MPF早已經全數轉持現金,縱使少賺了三五個巴仙也不會覺得肉刺。
「恆/國指比率」平均線已經重新整齊排列,懂得把握「777」當天上午處220%時開倉「渣國沽恆」者,現時已是穩坐釣魚船,尤其央行剛宣布月中調高存款準備金,即短期內不會加息,起碼不致於月內突然產生震盪。

日...恆/國........與平均比率差距........
期...指比率.5MA.. 10MA (+-%)..20MA (+-%)..50MA (+-%)
06/01/27 250.96% 253.24% 257.03%(-2.36%) 264.61%(-5.16%) 280.84%(-10.6%)
06/02/28 244.67% 239.28% 239.83%( 2.02%) 241.85%( 1.17%) 259.92%(-5.87%)
06/03/31 235.76% 236.91% 239.36%(-1.50%) 242.92%(-2.95%) 244.09%(-3.41%)
06/04/28 243.76% 241.71% 239.31%( 1.86%) 238.59%( 2.17%) 240.95%( 1.17%)
06/05/30 237.90% 237.68% 235.64%( 0.96%) 235.01%( 1.23%) 237.86%( 0.01%)
06/06/30 239.77% 243.60% 248.77%(-3.61%) 248.32%(-3.44%) 241.25%(-0.61%)
06/07/31 248.50% 247.22% 245.71%( 1.14%) 243.96%( 1.86%) 244.63%( 1.58%)
06/08/31 252.72% 248.54% 247.19%( 2.24%) 247.12%( 2.26%) 245.66%( 2.87%)
06/09/29 247.18% 247.50% 247.89%(-0.29%) 247.84%(-0.27%) 247.68%(-0.20%)
06/10/31 244.84% 243.69% 243.01%( 0.75%) 245.41%(-0.24%) 246.84%(-0.81%)
06/11/30 221.85% 224.86% 225.89%(-1.79%) 232.25%(-4.48%) 240.49%(-7.75%)
06/12/29 193.08% 196.42% 202.78%(-4.79%) 210.04%(-8.07%) 226.0%(-14.57%)
07/01/31 209.39% 209.48% 208.09%( 0.62%) 204.13%( 2.58%) 209.41%(-0.01%)
07/02/28 211.68% 209.01% 208.07%( 1.73%) 209.50%( 1.04%) 205.25%( 3.13%)
07/03/30 205.91% 206.29% 207.60%(-0.81%) 209.13%(-1.54%) 209.31%(-1.63%)
...............................
07/04/02 205.43% 205.99% 207.26%(-0.88%) 208.46%(-1.45%) 209.35%(-1.87%)
07/04/03 205.70% 205.94% 206.90%(-0.58%) 207.96%(-1.09%) 209.33%(-1.74%)
07/04/04 204.98% 205.70% 206.43%(-0.70%) 207.55%(-1.24%) 209.30%(-2.07%)

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