2007/09/07

好友頭痕


周五港股表面波幅收窄,但好淡角力情況未減,此所以締下了1,090億高成交額。中移動(941)因下周一被調低佔恆指比重,淡友乘勢用作主力質低指數工具,好友則轉移陣地,猛掃思捷環球(330)、港交所(388)與中海油(883)抗衡,支持力度依然硬淨。

嘉豪是日主力炒賣熊證#6380,早上$0.3賣掉後於$0.27補回,食完晏在$0.305又賣多次,然後到收市前以$0.285買番,雖然每「轉」所執幅度有限,但總好過「坐住」齋睇佢上上落落。

晚上美國公布就業數據,結果遠遜華爾街預測,美股應聲急挫,蓋如今市場所擔心因素,再不止於聯儲局減息與否,而是懼怕經濟情況惡化起來,問題是日來金價與油價雙雙站上高位,觀此市場訊息通脹應未回頭,換言之聯儲局將面對兩難局面。至於下周港股,受內(地)憂外患夾擊,好友認真頭痕矣!

「恆/國指比率」仍處最高點,只是本周升勢明顯放緩,周五更一度出現國期帶領恆期下滑鏡頭,畢竟近期累積升幅已多,不排除回吐時會跨得更大步。

日...恆/國........與平均比率差距........
期...指比率.5MA.. 10MA (+-%)..20MA (+-%)..50MA (+-%)
06/01/27 250.96% 253.24% 257.03%(-2.36%) 264.61%(-5.16%) 280.84%(-10.6%)
06/02/28 244.67% 239.28% 239.83%( 2.02%) 241.85%( 1.17%) 259.92%(-5.87%)
06/03/31 235.76% 236.91% 239.36%(-1.50%) 242.92%(-2.95%) 244.09%(-3.41%)
06/04/28 243.76% 241.71% 239.31%( 1.86%) 238.59%( 2.17%) 240.95%( 1.17%)
06/05/30 237.90% 237.68% 235.64%( 0.96%) 235.01%( 1.23%) 237.86%( 0.01%)
06/06/30 239.77% 243.60% 248.77%(-3.61%) 248.32%(-3.44%) 241.25%(-0.61%)
06/07/31 248.50% 247.22% 245.71%( 1.14%) 243.96%( 1.86%) 244.63%( 1.58%)
06/08/31 252.72% 248.54% 247.19%( 2.24%) 247.12%( 2.26%) 245.66%( 2.87%)
06/09/29 247.18% 247.50% 247.89%(-0.29%) 247.84%(-0.27%) 247.68%(-0.20%)
06/10/31 244.84% 243.69% 243.01%( 0.75%) 245.41%(-0.24%) 246.84%(-0.81%)
06/11/30 221.85% 224.86% 225.89%(-1.79%) 232.25%(-4.48%) 240.49%(-7.75%)
06/12/29 193.08% 196.42% 202.78%(-4.79%) 210.04%(-8.07%) 226.0%(-14.57%)
07/01/31 209.39% 209.48% 208.09%( 0.62%) 204.13%( 2.58%) 209.41%(-0.01%)
07/02/28 211.68% 209.01% 208.07%( 1.73%) 209.50%( 1.04%) 205.25%( 3.13%)
07/03/30 205.91% 206.29% 207.60%(-0.81%) 209.13%(-1.54%) 209.31%(-1.63%)
07/04/30 202.48% 201.80% 201.58%( 0.45%) 202.55%(-0.03%) 206.66%(-2.02%)
07/05/31 192.14% 193.12% 192.57%(-0.23%) 194.69%(-1.31%) 200.41%(-4.13%)
07/06/29 181.42% 181.97% 181.71%(-0.16%) 185.35%(-2.12%) 192.39%(-5.70%)
07/07/31 173.49% 174.14% 175.45%(-1.12%) 175.58%(-1.19%) 182.62%(-5.00%)
07/08/31 167.27% 167.99% 172.23%(-2.88%) 175.76%(-4.83%) 176.45%(-5.21%)
...............................
07/08/27 168.53% 174.07% 177.39%(-4.99%) 177.25%(-4.92%) 177.58%(-5.09%)
07/08/28 167.49% 172.26% 176.39%(-5.05%) 176.95%(-5.35%) 177.25%(-5.51%)
07/08/29 168.17% 170.73% 175.38%(-4.11%) 176.62%(-4.78%) 176.98%(-4.98%)
07/08/30 168.49% 169.33% 174.03%(-3.18%) 176.21%(-4.38%) 176.71%(-4.65%)
07/08/31 167.27% 167.99% 172.23%(-2.88%) 175.76%(-4.83%) 176.45%(-5.21%)
07/09/03 167.20% 167.72% 170.90%(-2.17%) 175.18%(-4.56%) 176.20%(-5.11%)
07/09/04 166.58% 167.54% 169.90%(-1.95%) 174.48%(-4.52%) 175.91%(-5.30%)
07/09/05 168.47% 167.60% 169.16%(-0.41%) 173.98%(-3.17%) 175.62%(-4.07%)
07/09/06 166.75% 167.25% 168.29%(-0.92%) 173.46%(-3.87%) 175.31%(-4.88%)
07/09/07 165.52% 166.90% 167.45%(-1.15%) 172.86%(-4.25%) 174.98%(-5.41%)

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