2007/07/02

少做少錯


去周一把50%《中華威力》套了現,期望見到恆指回到上次突破裂口底部,即約21,300重新吸納,可惜周內有波幅欠調整,周五指數較嘉豪出貨時,實際僅低了數十點。

假使恆指可見23,000,現水平買入,利潤僅得5%,回報並不算吸引。今時入市,要望恆指可見25,000,帶來接近20%利潤,才真正有肉可食,能否再托高20%,主要睇資金,如果七月份日日逾千億成交,應該不難達到。在未摸清楚前景之際,我會抱住少做少錯原則。

日圓暫時拒絕繼續下跌,但尚未有能力挑戰122警戒線,環球資金情況仍可保持樂觀,不過世事要變起來可以很快,尤其是投資市場,所以應時刻保持警覺。

日...恆/國........與平均比率差距........
期...指比率.5MA.. 10MA (+-%)..20MA (+-%)..50MA (+-%)
06/01/27 250.96% 253.24% 257.03%(-2.36%) 264.61%(-5.16%) 280.84%(-10.6%)
06/02/28 244.67% 239.28% 239.83%( 2.02%) 241.85%( 1.17%) 259.92%(-5.87%)
06/03/31 235.76% 236.91% 239.36%(-1.50%) 242.92%(-2.95%) 244.09%(-3.41%)
06/04/28 243.76% 241.71% 239.31%( 1.86%) 238.59%( 2.17%) 240.95%( 1.17%)
06/05/30 237.90% 237.68% 235.64%( 0.96%) 235.01%( 1.23%) 237.86%( 0.01%)
06/06/30 239.77% 243.60% 248.77%(-3.61%) 248.32%(-3.44%) 241.25%(-0.61%)
06/07/31 248.50% 247.22% 245.71%( 1.14%) 243.96%( 1.86%) 244.63%( 1.58%)
06/08/31 252.72% 248.54% 247.19%( 2.24%) 247.12%( 2.26%) 245.66%( 2.87%)
06/09/29 247.18% 247.50% 247.89%(-0.29%) 247.84%(-0.27%) 247.68%(-0.20%)
06/10/31 244.84% 243.69% 243.01%( 0.75%) 245.41%(-0.24%) 246.84%(-0.81%)
06/11/30 221.85% 224.86% 225.89%(-1.79%) 232.25%(-4.48%) 240.49%(-7.75%)
06/12/29 193.08% 196.42% 202.78%(-4.79%) 210.04%(-8.07%) 226.0%(-14.57%)
07/01/31 209.39% 209.48% 208.09%( 0.62%) 204.13%( 2.58%) 209.41%(-0.01%)
07/02/28 211.68% 209.01% 208.07%( 1.73%) 209.50%( 1.04%) 205.25%( 3.13%)
07/03/30 205.91% 206.29% 207.60%(-0.81%) 209.13%(-1.54%) 209.31%(-1.63%)
07/04/30 202.48% 201.80% 201.58%( 0.45%) 202.55%(-0.03%) 206.66%(-2.02%)
07/05/31 192.14% 193.12% 192.57%(-0.23%) 194.69%(-1.31%) 200.41%(-4.13%)
...............................
07/06/01 189.46% 192.48% 192.34%(-1.50%) 193.96%(-2.32%) 200.04%(-5.29%)
07/06/04 189.79% 191.86% 192.07%(-1.19%) 193.41%(-1.87%) 199.66%(-4.94%)
07/06/05 189.09% 191.11% 191.75%(-1.39%) 192.91%(-1.98%) 199.25%(-5.10%)
07/06/06 188.77% 189.85% 191.40%(-1.37%) 192.44%(-1.91%) 198.83%(-5.06%)
07/06/07 189.84% 189.39% 191.26%(-0.74%) 192.02%(-1.13%) 198.45%(-4.34%)
07/06/08 189.40% 189.38% 190.93%(-0.80%) 191.67%(-1.19%) 198.08%(-4.38%)
07/06/11 189.06% 189.23% 190.55%(-0.78%) 191.28%(-1.16%) 197.73%(-4.38%)
07/06/12 189.01% 189.22% 190.16%(-0.60%) 191.15%(-1.12%) 197.39%(-4.24%)
07/06/13 188.81% 189.22% 189.54%(-0.38%) 191.01%(-1.15%) 197.04%(-4.18%)
07/06/14 186.63% 188.58% 188.99%(-1.25%) 190.78%(-2.17%) 196.64%(-5.09%)
07/06/15 183.65% 187.43% 188.41%(-2.52%) 190.37%(-3.53%) 196.20%(-6.39%)
07/06/18 181.88% 186.00% 187.61%(-3.06%) 189.84%(-4.20%) 195.73%(-7.08%)
07/06/20 182.14% 184.62% 186.92%(-2.56%) 189.34%(-3.80%) 195.26%(-6.72%)
07/06/21 179.84% 182.83% 186.03%(-3.33%) 188.71%(-4.70%) 194.75%(-7.66%)
07/06/22 179.74% 181.45% 185.02%(-2.85%) 188.14%(-4.46%) 194.28%(-7.48%)
07/06/25 181.24% 180.97% 184.20%(-1.61%) 187.56%(-3.37%) 193.88%(-6.52%)
07/06/26 182.96% 181.18% 183.59%(-0.34%) 187.07%(-2.20%) 193.53%(-5.46%)
07/06/27 182.18% 181.19% 182.91%(-0.40%) 186.54%(-2.34%) 193.17%(-5.69%)
07/06/28 182.06% 181.63% 182.23%(-0.09%) 185.88%(-2.06%) 192.78%(-5.56%)
07/06/29 181.42% 181.97% 181.71%(-0.16%) 185.35%(-2.12%) 192.39%(-5.70%)

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