2007/05/13
夠密
上個禮拜五,國內呆滯港股插水,收市後不但未見壞消息,反而整單放寬QDII好新聞,再加上美股回升,又將造就本周港股高開。
但凡有乜影響股市政經動向,都唔難見到春江鴨預早「做野」舉動,今勻消息卻十分密實,甚至可能教好些大戶損手,蓋去周五恆指與國指未平倉合約量皆急升,明顯有人在大手造淡,隨時被迫於今早開市搶高平倉。
「恆/國指比率」又重新上揚,估計本周國企股在QDII消息推動下,強勢將得以持續,不過現價開倉對沖值博率未必夠高。
感覺上國家始終不欲落重藥調控股市,短期內這個泡沫勢將吹得更漲,還望社保基金盡快動手減持企業權益,以增加流通量及吸走部分資金,好讓市場洩一洩氣,否則總會讓來日走避不及之股民大嘗苦果。
日...恆/國........與平均比率差距........
期...指比率.5MA.. 10MA (+-%)..20MA (+-%)..50MA (+-%)
06/01/27 250.96% 253.24% 257.03%(-2.36%) 264.61%(-5.16%) 280.84%(-10.6%)
06/02/28 244.67% 239.28% 239.83%( 2.02%) 241.85%( 1.17%) 259.92%(-5.87%)
06/03/31 235.76% 236.91% 239.36%(-1.50%) 242.92%(-2.95%) 244.09%(-3.41%)
06/04/28 243.76% 241.71% 239.31%( 1.86%) 238.59%( 2.17%) 240.95%( 1.17%)
06/05/30 237.90% 237.68% 235.64%( 0.96%) 235.01%( 1.23%) 237.86%( 0.01%)
06/06/30 239.77% 243.60% 248.77%(-3.61%) 248.32%(-3.44%) 241.25%(-0.61%)
06/07/31 248.50% 247.22% 245.71%( 1.14%) 243.96%( 1.86%) 244.63%( 1.58%)
06/08/31 252.72% 248.54% 247.19%( 2.24%) 247.12%( 2.26%) 245.66%( 2.87%)
06/09/29 247.18% 247.50% 247.89%(-0.29%) 247.84%(-0.27%) 247.68%(-0.20%)
06/10/31 244.84% 243.69% 243.01%( 0.75%) 245.41%(-0.24%) 246.84%(-0.81%)
06/11/30 221.85% 224.86% 225.89%(-1.79%) 232.25%(-4.48%) 240.49%(-7.75%)
06/12/29 193.08% 196.42% 202.78%(-4.79%) 210.04%(-8.07%) 226.0%(-14.57%)
07/01/31 209.39% 209.48% 208.09%( 0.62%) 204.13%( 2.58%) 209.41%(-0.01%)
07/02/28 211.68% 209.01% 208.07%( 1.73%) 209.50%( 1.04%) 205.25%( 3.13%)
07/03/30 205.91% 206.29% 207.60%(-0.81%) 209.13%(-1.54%) 209.31%(-1.63%)
07/04/30 202.48% 201.80% 201.58%( 0.45%) 202.55%(-0.03%) 206.66%(-2.02%)
...............................
07/05/02 204.03% 202.42% 201.89%( 1.06%) 202.43%( 0.79%) 206.59%(-1.24%)
07/05/03 204.07% 202.88% 202.24%( 0.91%) 202.34%( 0.86%) 206.53%(-1.19%)
07/05/04 200.71% 202.74% 202.07%(-0.67%) 202.10%(-0.69%) 206.38%(-2.75%)
07/05/07 199.09% 202.08% 201.78%(-1.33%) 201.77%(-1.33%) 206.23%(-3.46%)
07/05/08 198.19% 201.22% 201.51%(-1.65%) 201.43%(-1.61%) 206.07%(-3.82%)
07/05/09 198.22% 200.06% 201.24%(-1.50%) 201.18%(-1.47%) 205.88%(-3.72%)
07/05/10 196.34% 198.51% 200.70%(-2.17%) 200.92%(-2.28%) 205.64%(-4.52%)
07/05/11 196.96% 197.76% 200.25%(-1.64%) 200.75%(-1.89%) 205.43%(-4.12%)
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