50天線受考驗

「恆/國指比率」終跌至50天線，觀附圖，前此每隔三數個月，便會出現一次考驗鏡頭，而其後都會很快找到支持並創造新高，假使相信歷史將繼續重覆，本周便應該著手展開「買國沽恆」部署。

上周五美股又跌，看來周一港股開盤，恆指28,000大位勢面臨衝擊，而於50天線仍在急速上移之下，預期周內很大機會要考驗一下其支持力，大市是否能穩住這浪跌勢即將揭盅！

嘉豪這陣子仍以炒牛熊證為主，通常盡量等到11點後才出手，以防被開市初段的急速波動引誘落疊。另吸納了少量價錢低殘的鑊鏟股，博短期內指數找到支持窄幅橫行，重演五月份資金四處亂竄搵野炒場面，雖然始終只敢放下雞仔注，但押中即有權升兩三個開，而風險未見得高過撈底玩窩輪。

後記：是日(周一)恆指早市表現比想像中更劣，一度眼見50天線也未必守得住，表面上到午後稍現曙光，但期指升至27,700以上即見交投驟降，終延至收市前復見沽盤大增。這一兩天內若不能攻克此位，須防還有另一波跌浪接踵而至。

日．．．恆／國．．．．．．．．與平均比率差距．．．．．．．．
期．．．指比率．5MA．． 10MA (+-%)．．20MA (+-%)．．50MA (+-%)
06/01/27 250.96% 253.24% 257.03%(-2.36%) 264.61%(-5.16%) 280.84%(-10.6%)
06/02/28 244.67% 239.28% 239.83%( 2.02%) 241.85%( 1.17%) 259.92%(-5.87%)
06/03/31 235.76% 236.91% 239.36%(-1.50%) 242.92%(-2.95%) 244.09%(-3.41%)
06/04/28 243.76% 241.71% 239.31%( 1.86%) 238.59%( 2.17%) 240.95%( 1.17%)
06/05/30 237.90% 237.68% 235.64%( 0.96%) 235.01%( 1.23%) 237.86%( 0.01%)
06/06/30 239.77% 243.60% 248.77%(-3.61%) 248.32%(-3.44%) 241.25%(-0.61%)
06/07/31 248.50% 247.22% 245.71%( 1.14%) 243.96%( 1.86%) 244.63%( 1.58%)
06/08/31 252.72% 248.54% 247.19%( 2.24%) 247.12%( 2.26%) 245.66%( 2.87%)
06/09/29 247.18% 247.50% 247.89%(-0.29%) 247.84%(-0.27%) 247.68%(-0.20%)
06/10/31 244.84% 243.69% 243.01%( 0.75%) 245.41%(-0.24%) 246.84%(-0.81%)
06/11/30 221.85% 224.86% 225.89%(-1.79%) 232.25%(-4.48%) 240.49%(-7.75%)
06/12/29 193.08% 196.42% 202.78%(-4.79%) 210.04%(-8.07%) 226.0%(-14.57%)
07/01/31 209.39% 209.48% 208.09%( 0.62%) 204.13%( 2.58%) 209.41%(-0.01%)
07/02/28 211.68% 209.01% 208.07%( 1.73%) 209.50%( 1.04%) 205.25%( 3.13%)
07/03/30 205.91% 206.29% 207.60%(-0.81%) 209.13%(-1.54%) 209.31%(-1.63%)
07/04/30 202.48% 201.80% 201.58%( 0.45%) 202.55%(-0.03%) 206.66%(-2.02%)
07/05/31 192.14% 193.12% 192.57%(-0.23%) 194.69%(-1.31%) 200.41%(-4.13%)
07/06/29 181.42% 181.97% 181.71%(-0.16%) 185.35%(-2.12%) 192.39%(-5.70%)
07/07/31 173.49% 174.14% 175.45%(-1.12%) 175.58%(-1.19%) 182.62%(-5.00%)
07/08/31 167.27% 167.99% 172.23%(-2.88%) 175.76%(-4.83%) 176.45%(-5.21%)
07/09/28 159.49% 162.23% 164.80%(-3.22%) 166.02%(-3.93%) 171.87%(-7.20%)
07/10/31 156.41% 155.23% 152.76%( 2.39%) 154.02%( 1.55%) 162.25%(-3.60%)
．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．
07/11/01 155.81% 155.85% 153.16%( 1.73%) 153.88%( 1.26%) 161.76%(-3.68%)
07/11/02 155.93% 155.93% 153.81%( 1.38%) 153.61%( 1.51%) 161.35%(-3.36%)
07/11/01 155.81% 155.85% 153.16%( 1.73%) 153.88%( 1.26%) 161.76%(-3.68%)
07/11/02 155.93% 155.93% 153.81%( 1.38%) 153.61%( 1.51%) 161.35%(-3.36%)
07/11/05 158.23% 156.29% 154.55%( 2.38%) 153.59%( 3.02%) 161.00%(-1.72%)
07/11/06 159.26% 157.13% 155.51%( 2.41%) 153.63%( 3.67%) 160.67%(-0.88%)
07/11/07 160.14% 157.87% 156.55%( 2.29%) 153.72%( 4.17%) 160.40%(-0.16%)
07/11/08 162.33% 159.18% 157.52%( 3.06%) 154.03%( 5.39%) 160.27%( 1.29%)
07/11/09 161.86% 160.36% 158.15%( 2.35%) 154.54%( 4.74%) 160.16%( 1.06%)