2007/06/01

繼續買大


嘉豪持續兩周之MPF入貨行動業已完成,期間雖然僅跨越九個交易日,但周三見恆指跌至五十天線,索性「開雙」入夠10%,至此接近二十萬之「生果金」,已經有半數回投到市場中去。

恆指連續第四個周五下跌,不過是日實際跌幅輕微,而且全周計數反而上升了80點,形勢明顯比前樂觀,何況另一邊廂國指漲逾1%,完全未受滬深兩地股市又再下調影響,並帶領「恆/國指比率」挑戰歷史新高。

縱使小弟從來未認真學習技術走勢,卻可簡單從觀察兩周前所刊載三年圖,預測這次只要成功突破,國指的升勢會相當強大,否則便隨時形成雙頂回落,掉頭出現大幅走低,所以短期表現十分關鍵。

現時恆指正貼近十天與二十天線,只要本周六、日國內不再出招(也估計機會有限),20,740將一揮即蹴,而且日圓快跌穿122,配合外圍形勢,大有機會重展升浪,料可繼續抱著審慎樂觀心態。

補記:美國就業數據理想,核心消費價格回落,美股市前盤即現Strong Buy,Bingo!

日...恆/國........與平均比率差距........
期...指比率.5MA.. 10MA (+-%)..20MA (+-%)..50MA (+-%)
06/01/27 250.96% 253.24% 257.03%(-2.36%) 264.61%(-5.16%) 280.84%(-10.6%)
06/02/28 244.67% 239.28% 239.83%( 2.02%) 241.85%( 1.17%) 259.92%(-5.87%)
06/03/31 235.76% 236.91% 239.36%(-1.50%) 242.92%(-2.95%) 244.09%(-3.41%)
06/04/28 243.76% 241.71% 239.31%( 1.86%) 238.59%( 2.17%) 240.95%( 1.17%)
06/05/30 237.90% 237.68% 235.64%( 0.96%) 235.01%( 1.23%) 237.86%( 0.01%)
06/06/30 239.77% 243.60% 248.77%(-3.61%) 248.32%(-3.44%) 241.25%(-0.61%)
06/07/31 248.50% 247.22% 245.71%( 1.14%) 243.96%( 1.86%) 244.63%( 1.58%)
06/08/31 252.72% 248.54% 247.19%( 2.24%) 247.12%( 2.26%) 245.66%( 2.87%)
06/09/29 247.18% 247.50% 247.89%(-0.29%) 247.84%(-0.27%) 247.68%(-0.20%)
06/10/31 244.84% 243.69% 243.01%( 0.75%) 245.41%(-0.24%) 246.84%(-0.81%)
06/11/30 221.85% 224.86% 225.89%(-1.79%) 232.25%(-4.48%) 240.49%(-7.75%)
06/12/29 193.08% 196.42% 202.78%(-4.79%) 210.04%(-8.07%) 226.0%(-14.57%)
07/01/31 209.39% 209.48% 208.09%( 0.62%) 204.13%( 2.58%) 209.41%(-0.01%)
07/02/28 211.68% 209.01% 208.07%( 1.73%) 209.50%( 1.04%) 205.25%( 3.13%)
07/03/30 205.91% 206.29% 207.60%(-0.81%) 209.13%(-1.54%) 209.31%(-1.63%)
07/04/30 202.48% 201.80% 201.58%( 0.45%) 202.55%(-0.03%) 206.66%(-2.02%)
...............................
07/05/02 204.03% 202.42% 201.89%( 1.06%) 202.43%( 0.79%) 206.59%(-1.24%)
07/05/03 204.07% 202.88% 202.24%( 0.91%) 202.34%( 0.86%) 206.53%(-1.19%)
07/05/04 200.71% 202.74% 202.07%(-0.67%) 202.10%(-0.69%) 206.38%(-2.75%)
07/05/07 199.09% 202.08% 201.78%(-1.33%) 201.77%(-1.33%) 206.23%(-3.46%)
07/05/08 198.19% 201.22% 201.51%(-1.65%) 201.43%(-1.61%) 206.07%(-3.82%)
07/05/09 198.22% 200.06% 201.24%(-1.50%) 201.18%(-1.47%) 205.88%(-3.72%)
07/05/10 196.34% 198.51% 200.70%(-2.17%) 200.92%(-2.28%) 205.64%(-4.52%)
07/05/11 196.96% 197.76% 200.25%(-1.64%) 200.75%(-1.89%) 205.43%(-4.12%)
07/05/14 191.61% 196.27% 199.17%(-3.79%) 200.31%(-4.34%) 205.06%(-6.56%)
07/05/15 191.57% 194.94% 198.08%(-3.28%) 199.83%(-4.13%) 204.66%(-6.39%)
07/05/16 191.22% 193.54% 196.80%(-2.84%) 199.34%(-4.08%) 204.19%(-6.36%)
07/05/17 191.79% 192.63% 195.57%(-1.93%) 198.91%(-3.58%) 203.70%(-5.85%)
07/05/18 192.51% 191.74% 194.75%(-1.15%) 198.41%(-2.97%) 203.17%(-5.25%)
07/05/21 192.25% 191.87% 194.07%(-0.93%) 197.92%(-2.86%) 202.70%(-5.16%)
07/05/22 192.32% 192.02% 193.48%(-0.60%) 197.49%(-2.62%) 202.29%(-4.93%)
07/05/23 191.27% 192.03% 192.78%(-0.79%) 197.01%(-2.92%) 201.93%(-5.28%)
07/05/25 192.69% 192.21% 192.42%( 0.14%) 196.56%(-1.97%) 201.63%(-4.44%)
07/05/28 192.88% 192.28% 192.01%( 0.45%) 196.13%(-1.66%) 201.33%(-4.20%)
07/05/29 192.83% 192.40% 192.13%( 0.36%) 195.65%(-1.44%) 201.02%(-4.07%)
07/05/30 195.07% 192.95% 192.48%( 1.34%) 195.28%(-0.11%) 200.74%(-2.82%)
07/05/31 192.14% 193.12% 192.57%(-0.23%) 194.69%(-1.31%) 200.41%(-4.13%)
07/06/01 189.46% 192.48% 192.34%(-1.50%) 193.96%(-2.32%) 200.04%(-5.29%)

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