29,000

果如所料，散戶又輸一仗，當群眾由唔信變成半信半疑，最後更轉軑加入追沽行列之際，大市卻偏偏開始掉頭回升。

周二晚美股大跌，翌日港股競價時段卻毫不示弱，其實已經是強烈轉勢訊號，看風駛里如嘉豪者，當然傾全力用牛證搵食，一再以期指26,750作入貨據點，炒罷一番上落再食正近千點升勢，幫補番唔少所持鑊鏟股跌幅。

恆期日線圖出現一片向好現象，周五成交額續升兼直衝保力加中軸，又正營造雙底形態，MACD且快將出現「熊牛」買入訊號，看來這回升浪應起碼以29,000為目標；假若一個唔覺意，抽穿埋10月30日及12月7日延伸出來的下降軌阻力，則甚至可挑戰30,800至31,300之裂口。

散戶這回是否能夠把握機會入市呢？按周內指數輪成交所示，雖然認沽成交額正逐漸回落，但認購輪也同時跌至十月初以來最低成交，可見羊群命運依舊，並未能及時回頭，繼續擔當著被狩獵的角色。

一周指數輪成交額($K)

日期_____恆指收市___認購輪_____認沽輪
07/12/17__26,596.58__$3,527,915__$3,528,196
07/12/18__26,732.87__$3,597,385__$3,389,177
07/12/19__27,029.26__$2,784,215__$3,020,268
07/12/20__27,017.09__$1,967,430__$2,444,061
07/12/21__27,626.92__$1,422,198__$1,460,207

恆/國指比率

日．．．恆／國．．．．．．．．與平均比率差距．．．．．．．．
期．．．指比率．5MA．． 10MA (+-%)．．20MA (+-%)．．50MA (+-%)
06/01/27 250.96% 253.24% 257.03%(-2.36%) 264.61%(-5.16%) 280.84%(-10.6%)
06/02/28 244.67% 239.28% 239.83%( 2.02%) 241.85%( 1.17%) 259.92%(-5.87%)
06/03/31 235.76% 236.91% 239.36%(-1.50%) 242.92%(-2.95%) 244.09%(-3.41%)
06/04/28 243.76% 241.71% 239.31%( 1.86%) 238.59%( 2.17%) 240.95%( 1.17%)
06/05/30 237.90% 237.68% 235.64%( 0.96%) 235.01%( 1.23%) 237.86%( 0.01%)
06/06/30 239.77% 243.60% 248.77%(-3.61%) 248.32%(-3.44%) 241.25%(-0.61%)
06/07/31 248.50% 247.22% 245.71%( 1.14%) 243.96%( 1.86%) 244.63%( 1.58%)
06/08/31 252.72% 248.54% 247.19%( 2.24%) 247.12%( 2.26%) 245.66%( 2.87%)
06/09/29 247.18% 247.50% 247.89%(-0.29%) 247.84%(-0.27%) 247.68%(-0.20%)
06/10/31 244.84% 243.69% 243.01%( 0.75%) 245.41%(-0.24%) 246.84%(-0.81%)
06/11/30 221.85% 224.86% 225.89%(-1.79%) 232.25%(-4.48%) 240.49%(-7.75%)
06/12/29 193.08% 196.42% 202.78%(-4.79%) 210.04%(-8.07%) 226.0%(-14.57%)
07/01/31 209.39% 209.48% 208.09%( 0.62%) 204.13%( 2.58%) 209.41%(-0.01%)
07/02/28 211.68% 209.01% 208.07%( 1.73%) 209.50%( 1.04%) 205.25%( 3.13%)
07/03/30 205.91% 206.29% 207.60%(-0.81%) 209.13%(-1.54%) 209.31%(-1.63%)
07/04/30 202.48% 201.80% 201.58%( 0.45%) 202.55%(-0.03%) 206.66%(-2.02%)
07/05/31 192.14% 193.12% 192.57%(-0.23%) 194.69%(-1.31%) 200.41%(-4.13%)
07/06/29 181.42% 181.97% 181.71%(-0.16%) 185.35%(-2.12%) 192.39%(-5.70%)
07/07/31 173.49% 174.14% 175.45%(-1.12%) 175.58%(-1.19%) 182.62%(-5.00%)
07/08/31 167.27% 167.99% 172.23%(-2.88%) 175.76%(-4.83%) 176.45%(-5.21%)
07/09/28 159.49% 162.23% 164.80%(-3.22%) 166.02%(-3.93%) 171.87%(-7.20%)
07/10/31 156.41% 155.23% 152.76%( 2.39%) 154.02%( 1.55%) 162.25%(-3.60%)
07/11/30 166.74% 167.12% 166.96%(-0.13%) 164.88%( 1.13%) 159.81%( 4.33%)
．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．．
07/12/03 167.00% 167.12% 167.05%(-0.03%) 165.32%( 1.02%) 159.80%( 4.51%)
07/12/04 167.95% 167.28% 167.32%( 0.38%) 165.76%( 1.33%) 159.86%( 5.06%)
07/12/05 166.36% 167.09% 167.31%(-0.57%) 166.07%( 0.17%) 159.89%( 4.04%)
07/12/06 166.15% 166.84% 167.22%(-0.64%) 166.26%(-0.06%) 159.98%( 3.86%)
07/12/07 163.70% 166.23% 166.67%(-1.78%) 166.31%(-1.57%) 160.00%( 2.31%)
07/12/10 165.83% 166.00% 166.56%(-0.44%) 166.30%(-0.29%) 160.07%( 3.60%)
07/12/11 166.48% 165.70% 166.49%(-0.01%) 166.30%( 0.11%) 160.20%( 3.92%)
07/12/12 168.14% 166.06% 166.58%( 0.94%) 166.53%( 0.97%) 160.43%( 4.81%)
07/12/13 169.88% 166.80% 166.82%( 1.83%) 166.80%( 1.84%) 160.65%( 5.74%)
07/12/14 172.73% 168.61% 167.42%( 3.17%) 167.19%( 3.32%) 160.88%( 7.36%)
07/12/17 172.80% 170.01% 168.00%( 2.86%) 167.53%( 3.15%) 161.17%( 7.22%)
07/12/18 173.03% 171.32% 168.51%( 2.68%) 167.92%( 3.05%) 161.45%( 7.17%)
07/12/19 172.84% 172.26% 169.16%( 2.17%) 168.24%( 2.73%) 161.75%( 6.86%)
07/12/20 171.72% 172.63% 169.72%( 1.18%) 168.47%( 1.93%) 162.06%( 5.97%)
07/12/21 172.86% 172.65% 170.63%( 1.31%) 168.65%( 2.50%) 162.48%( 6.39%)