2008/01/21
國指回軟
「恆/國指比率」經前周稍為反彈後,去周二起又告拾級而下,重新跌到各平均線之下。現滬深300指數較高位僅調整了不足10%,MACD正處「牛熊」出貨訊號,牽連之下短期國指應仍以偏弱為主。
國期未平倉合約,於去周五達到12萬張,與恆期僅差千餘張,如斯高比率前所未見,究竟是大戶準備作大舉動,抑或因所需按金較低,而搶走了部分恆期生意,恕小弟無能力參透。
恆/國指比率
日...恆/國........與平均比率差距........
期...指比率.5MA.. 10MA (+-%)..20MA (+-%)..50MA (+-%)
06/01/27 250.96% 253.24% 257.03%(-2.36%) 264.61%(-5.16%) 280.84%(-10.6%)
06/02/28 244.67% 239.28% 239.83%( 2.02%) 241.85%( 1.17%) 259.92%(-5.87%)
06/03/31 235.76% 236.91% 239.36%(-1.50%) 242.92%(-2.95%) 244.09%(-3.41%)
06/04/28 243.76% 241.71% 239.31%( 1.86%) 238.59%( 2.17%) 240.95%( 1.17%)
06/05/30 237.90% 237.68% 235.64%( 0.96%) 235.01%( 1.23%) 237.86%( 0.01%)
06/06/30 239.77% 243.60% 248.77%(-3.61%) 248.32%(-3.44%) 241.25%(-0.61%)
06/07/31 248.50% 247.22% 245.71%( 1.14%) 243.96%( 1.86%) 244.63%( 1.58%)
06/08/31 252.72% 248.54% 247.19%( 2.24%) 247.12%( 2.26%) 245.66%( 2.87%)
06/09/29 247.18% 247.50% 247.89%(-0.29%) 247.84%(-0.27%) 247.68%(-0.20%)
06/10/31 244.84% 243.69% 243.01%( 0.75%) 245.41%(-0.24%) 246.84%(-0.81%)
06/11/30 221.85% 224.86% 225.89%(-1.79%) 232.25%(-4.48%) 240.49%(-7.75%)
06/12/29 193.08% 196.42% 202.78%(-4.79%) 210.04%(-8.07%) 226.0%(-14.57%)
07/01/31 209.39% 209.48% 208.09%( 0.62%) 204.13%( 2.58%) 209.41%(-0.01%)
07/02/28 211.68% 209.01% 208.07%( 1.73%) 209.50%( 1.04%) 205.25%( 3.13%)
07/03/30 205.91% 206.29% 207.60%(-0.81%) 209.13%(-1.54%) 209.31%(-1.63%)
07/04/30 202.48% 201.80% 201.58%( 0.45%) 202.55%(-0.03%) 206.66%(-2.02%)
07/05/31 192.14% 193.12% 192.57%(-0.23%) 194.69%(-1.31%) 200.41%(-4.13%)
07/06/29 181.42% 181.97% 181.71%(-0.16%) 185.35%(-2.12%) 192.39%(-5.70%)
07/07/31 173.49% 174.14% 175.45%(-1.12%) 175.58%(-1.19%) 182.62%(-5.00%)
07/08/31 167.27% 167.99% 172.23%(-2.88%) 175.76%(-4.83%) 176.45%(-5.21%)
07/09/28 159.49% 162.23% 164.80%(-3.22%) 166.02%(-3.93%) 171.87%(-7.20%)
07/10/31 156.41% 155.23% 152.76%( 2.39%) 154.02%( 1.55%) 162.25%(-3.60%)
07/11/30 166.74% 167.12% 166.96%(-0.13%) 164.88%( 1.13%) 159.81%( 4.33%)
07/12/31 172.48% 171.62% 172.12%( 0.21%) 169.47%( 1.78%) 164.16%( 5.07%)
...............................
08/01/02 172.18% 171.48% 172.07%( 0.07%) 169.75%( 1.43%) 164.61%( 4.60%)
08/01/03 173.86% 172.00% 172.17%( 0.98%) 170.09%( 2.22%) 165.07%( 5.32%)
08/01/04 173.04% 172.55% 172.17%( 0.50%) 170.34%( 1.59%) 165.54%( 4.53%)
08/01/07 174.33% 173.18% 172.32%( 1.16%) 170.74%( 2.10%) 166.03%( 5.00%)
08/01/08 173.14% 173.31% 172.47%( 0.39%) 171.09%( 1.20%) 166.44%( 4.02%)
08/01/09 171.11% 173.10% 172.29%(-0.69%) 171.46%(-0.21%) 166.75%( 2.61%)
08/01/10 169.90% 172.30% 172.15%(-1.31%) 171.66%(-1.03%) 167.02%( 1.72%)
08/01/11 169.68% 171.63% 172.09%(-1.40%) 171.82%(-1.25%) 167.32%( 1.41%)
08/01/14 170.98% 170.96% 172.07%(-0.63%) 171.97%(-0.57%) 167.61%( 2.01%)
08/01/15 172.25% 170.78% 172.05%( 0.12%) 172.09%( 0.10%) 167.94%( 2.57%)
08/01/16 174.45% 171.45% 172.27%( 1.26%) 172.17%( 1.32%) 168.31%( 3.65%)
08/01/17 173.43% 172.16% 172.23%( 0.70%) 172.20%( 0.71%) 168.61%( 2.86%)
08/01/18 173.07% 172.84% 172.23%( 0.49%) 172.20%( 0.50%) 168.89%( 2.48%)
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